USDJPY Technical Analysis, November 12, 2020

Exclusive Markets Analysts
Exclusive Markets Analysts


Technical Outlook:

USDJPY has finally reversed early this week after printing lows around 103.15 levels. The currency has managed to produce a meaningful Morning Star bullish reversal signal and has also taken out immediate resistance at 105.34 mark. Potential opportunity to buy on dips from here.

USDJPY medium term outlook remains bullish since March 2020 lows around 101.18 levels. The rally between 101.18 and 111.75 has been retraced through fibonacci 0.786 levels around 103.40 zone and bulls have managed to reverse.

The recent boundary which is being worked upon is between 103.15 and 105.70 respectively. A lower degree Wave 1 could be marked around 105.70 highs yesterday. USDJPY is pulling back and is expected to find support around 104.20/30 zone.

Also note that fibonacci 0.618 retracement of the recent rally between 103.15 and 105.70 is seen to be passing through 104.20/30 zone. High probable bullish reversal is possible if prices manage to reach there. The current pullback could be marked as potential Wave 2 lower.

USDJPY is then expected to resume its rally higher towards 106.00 and 107.00/50 levels at least, as Wave 3 progresses. Looking at the entire wave structure between 101.18 through 103.15 lows, it seems likely that bulls would be poised to push through 111.75.

USDJPY remains a good candidate to be bought on dips towards 104.20/30 zone from here. The currency would be providing an opportunity to initiate longs around termination of corrective Wave 2 and then resume higher as Wave 3, going forward.

Trading Strategy:

Long against 103.00, targeting 111.75

Legal Disclaimer: This article is not investment advice. The data provided is for marketing material purposes and is not intended to confuse nor guide our clients on trading decisions. Any investment activity performed is perceived to be a self-directed decision. Exclusive Markets is not liable for losses that may occur because of a decision made after reading the information published on our research page or any other media.

Risk Warning: Trading the capital markets is risky therefore further knowledge and experience may be required. Apply appropriate risk and money management always and ensure the implementation of safe leverage.

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